Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Thursday morning, February 13, 2020
In a sea of LOW avalanche danger, you could still trigger a slide that breaks deeper and wider than you might expect and here's what to look for-
While more the exception than the rule, in the wind zone, at and above treeline, pockets of MODERATE avalanche danger exist. Human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE on steep, wind drifted slopes. Avalanches breaking into deeper, buried weak layers remains a distinct possibility. Usual suspects include- steep, rocky, upper elevation terrain, especially slopes exhibiting a thin, shallow snowpack. Remember- any slide that breaks to old snow, instantly throws a curve ball at your day.
Lose the wind and you lose the problem. Wind sheltered mid and low elevation terrain offers generally LOW avalanche danger.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
Big thanks to Alpha Coffee for hosting last nights well attended "State of the state of the snowpack" presentation and just as big, if not bigger thanks to everyone who took time out of their busy lives to attend. Your stoke, enthusiasm, and investment in your personal safety was clearly at the forefront last night and I am deeply grateful to everyone who allowed me to be part of their evening.
Weather and Snow
Currently-
Yet another weak cold front slid through the region late Wednesday, giving the range a fresh, yet shallow coat of white paint whilst delivering an inch or two of snow along the way. Currently, skies are clear, temperatures in the single digits and westerly winds are light, blowing just 10-20 mph even along the high peaks. Sunny slopes haven taken on a little heat and offer a variety of breakable crusts, but the vast majority of our terrain offers excellent riding right now, especially wind sheltered, mid elevation slopes.
Uinta weather network info is found here. Simply click on the Western Uinta tab.
For today-
A stunning day is on tap with mostly sunny skies and temperatures rising into the low 30's. Northwest winds might become a nuisance as the day progresses, bumping into the 20's and 30's along the high ridges.
Futurecast-
The next potentially significant storm looks to slide into the area Sunday into Monday.
You came for the riding, but you stayed for the views! A stunning backdoor view of Mt. Timpanogos and the Wasatch back.
Recent Avalanches
Other than sluffing on steep, shady slopes, Michael J found mostly stable snow during his travels yesterday. His trip report is found here.
No other significant avalanche activity to report.
To view trip reports and recent avalanche activity, simply click here.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Not particularly widespread or connected, today you'll find pockets of wind drifted snow on steep, leeward slopes in the wind zone.
Recent wind drifts formed during last weeks big storm are welded into place and becoming less reactive over time. And while last nights fresh snow and a bump in westerly winds for a few hours may not look like much on the surface, I always need to remind myself the Uinta's are a huge range and I bet if you went looking to trigger a fresh wind slab.... you could find it. So, if you're getting into steep, technical terrain today, think about the consequences of triggering even a small slide that could boss you around and lead to an unintended outcome like getting slammed into a tree.
So the best rule of thumb is to simply avoid steep, wind drifted slopes, especially if they look fat and rounded or feel hollow and sound like a drum.
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
We can't see weak layers in the snowpack unless we take a minute, get our shovels out, and investigate... but the snowpack has an amazing memory and doesn't forget where these deficits are located. All we need to do is find one inconsistency (such a shallow, rocky section of the slope like in the image above), collapse the pack, and now we're staring down the barrel of a dangerous avalanche.
Most terrain offers a deep snowpack and it's happy in its own skin. Now I need to think about suspect terrain I want to avoid, and that includes steep, rocky terrain and slopes that avalanched near the ground earlier in the season. Recent avalanche activity involving weak snowpack structure confirms this hypothesis.
Additional Information
Thanks to the generous support of our Utah ski resorts and Ski Utah, we have discount lift tickets available. All proceeds support the UAC. Get your tickets HERE.
Get one of these cool t-shirts to support the UAC and other avalanche centers across the U.S. INFO
General Announcements
The information in this forecast expires in 24 hours, but will be updated by 7:00 AM Friday Feb. 14th.
This forecast is updated daily by 7:00 AM.
In the mean-time, if you see or trigger an avalanche or just wanna let me know what you're seeing you can reach me directly at 801-231-2170
This is a great time of year to schedule one of our free avy awareness presentations.
You can email me directly [email protected]
The information in this forecast is from the US Forest Service which is solely responsible for its content.