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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, December 5, 2024
The overall avalanche danger is currently MODERATE.
You could still possibly trigger an avalanche that breaks into old sugary snow near the ground but it's becoming less likely.
The steepest higher elevation more northerly aspects are where you might find trouble.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: There's not much to report during this period of high pressure. We've seen mild weather through the week with no snow since before Thanksgiving. Riding conditions remain fairly decent considering the shallow snowpack and how long it's been since we've seen any snow.
Mountain Weather: High pressure continues through the week bringing more mild weather. A small storm that looks like it moves through on Sunday into Monday is looking less impressive as the time gets nearer.
Recent Avalanches
There haven't been any reported avalanches since Friday, November 29th.
CLICK HERE for a list of known avalanches on the Skyline.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Snow from Oct and mid Nov became weak and sugary over time. Two feet of snow fell on November 26th which piled up on top of the older weak snow. The weak snow became overloaded and produced some natural avalanche activity. There were also some snowmobile triggered avalanches.
The weak snow remains at the base of the snowpack. Over time, it is adjusting to the high density snow on top of it. The chances for triggering an avalanche decrease each day. However, there is still a chance and it's difficult to determine which slopes will avalanche and which ones won't.
The bottom line is if you stick to slopes under 30 degrees in steepness, you will stay out of trouble.
Additional Information
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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