Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Friday morning, March 6, 2026

The addition of new snow over the last 36 hours has slightly increased the likelihood of triggering an avalanche.

A CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger remains on steep slopes above 9500' that face northwest, north, northeast and east.

Many upper elevation northerly facing slopes won't avalanche. Some will. It is almost impossible to determine which ones will avalanche and which ones won't, which makes for a dangerous situation.

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Weather and Snow

General Conditions: We've picked up 4 to 6 inches of new snow since Wednesday. It is medium-density snow. This should greatly improve riding conditions. It's not going to be epic deep powder but it should provide decent turning. Temperatures are in the teens. Wind from the northwest has been in the moderate speed range over the last 24 hours.

Mountain Weather: We'll have cloudy skies with periods of snow into this afternoon before the storm tapers off. We could pick up a few more inches of new snow. Temperatures are going to stay fairly cool, probably only making it up to around 20°F or slightly higher. Wind will remain from the northwest in the moderate speed range for the most part. It'll probably increase in speed a bit midday. Things clear out on Saturday with temperatures starting to warm, then warmer yet on Sunday.
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
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Description

The addition of the new snow hasn't changed things much, except it has increased the likelihood of triggering an avalanche.

Dry loose faceted snow that formed in January is buried about 2 feet below the snow surface. The biggest concern is triggering an avalanche that breaks into that old weak snow. For the most part, the snowpack is stubborn right now. You most likely won't see obvious signs of danger like recent avalanches or collapsing (whoomping) of the snowpack. Take my word, though. This is a dangerous situation in the upper elevation, northerly facing terrain. There is no easy way to figure out if a slope will avalanche right now, so it's like rolling the dice.

General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.