After a difficult week in February that included four avalanche fatalities, UAC forecasters will host a community debrief to discuss the conditions surrounding these accidents. We will review the weather and snowpack patterns, share observations from the field, and discuss lessons learned. This event will not be live but will include time for questions, with the goal of learning together as a community. Please use this form to submit questions for review.
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Heightened wet avalanche conditions persist without a significant refreeze of the saturated snow, and low temperatures in the mountains staying well above 40°F again last night... Clear skies mean that a thin crust likely formed on the snow surface due to long-wave radiational heat loss. Today, expect a supportable crust in the morning with rough, dusty snow surfaces. The surface crust will soften during the day as temperatures soar in the hot sun, and the snow will become less supportable and punchy in places.
The snow is so soft and saturated in many areas that you post-hole right to the ground if you get off the beaten path. While the melt-softened snow keeps the sled cool and is more fun to ride on than firm snow, the softer it gets, the more unstable it is. A saturated snowpack makes the timing of wet avalanches hard to predict because the snow softens and becomes unstable at different elevations and aspects at different times. Given the uncertainty inherent in wet avalanche prediction, your safest option is simply to avoid riding on or under steep slopes.

At 0600, the UAC Card Canyon weather station at 8700 feet reports 44°F and 44.5 inches of total snow. It's a sweltering 47°F at the Tony Grove Snotel, with 54 inches of total snow. On Logan Peak, winds are blowing from the west-southwest at 26 mph. It's 40°F on Paris Peak at 9500 feet, and the winds are from the southwest, blowing 23 to 29 mph. It will be mostly sunny today, and temperatures at the highest elevations in the Logan Zone will reach around 50°F, with moderate winds blowing from the west. Overnight, temperatures will stay well above freezing and in the mid-40°F range in most upper elevation areas again. This week, temperatures will climb back up into the "way too hot" or well-above-normal range until Thursday night, when another short-lived, dry cold front passes through, and freezing temperatures are possible.

Coverage is still good at upper elevations in the Central Bear River Range, though the snow is rough, dusty, and debris-covered.
In the last few days across the Logan Zone, we've observed numerous natural wet avalanches caused by the extreme heat wave. Yesterday, I could see evidence of fresh wet avalanche activity in north-facing terrain off Logan Peak in Mill Hollow and Drop In, Drop Out in lower Logan Canyon, way above Zanavoo.
Find observations from the Logan Zone and from across the state HERE.